G48 2017-01-20 Nashville to change name to P-ref-ators

Game Notes EDM vs NSH


Nashville Predators (Head Coach: Peter Laviolette) at Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan)

NHL Game #689, Rogers Place, 2017-01-20 07:00:00PM (GMT -0700)

Predators 3-2 (SO)

Referees: Francis Charron, Kelly Sutherland
Linesmen: Vaughan Rody, Kiel Murchison

Three Stars: NHL did not record (yet)

  • That first penalty by Maroon on Arvidsson was an Olympic calibre dive. The ref who fell for that one should probably just retire right now – the game has passed him by.
  • Actually, whatever temporary improvement the league mandated in reffing after the embarrassing STL and ARI game is gone. This was another brutal job, and that uncalled Too Many Men tells you this wasn’t only incompetence.
  • The Nuge facial hair thing was pretty funny. Obvious why Maroon and Khaira have been so good – got the playoff beards going already. Maybe time for Milan to get a little beardy! (NARRATOR: “Later that game, he did.”)
  • My Twitter feed is filled with the usual love/hate for Kris Russell. In the second period, the sequence from 7:30-7:00 is a good example of why people watching can both like and dislike Russell. Let me explain:
    • The puck is dumped in along the boards into the Oiler zone with a Predator in chase. Russell uses his speed to get the puck first and neutralize the threat. Excellent play. Kris Army rejoices.
    • Except … with two players in support, nonetheless, Russell immediately dumps the puck off the boards and out. The Preds instantly retrieve the puck and are back on the attack, resulting in several shots and a dangerous scoring chance.
    • Kris Army – I dunno, either they presumably stopped watching, or don’t connect the two. Kris Haters meanwhile tear their hair out, recognizing that if Russell had just made a smarter play, that whole sequence would never have happened.
    • It’s this effect by the way that the fancystats are showing – the puck doesn’t easily move up ice with Russell on the ice, and the Oilers are generally spending too much time defending, as a result of which they are outshot and outchanced with him on the ice. Even as visually he makes decent defensive plays, just as he made one or two solid plays in that sequence.
  • I’m not a Russell hater at all, I’ve got all day for the guy and his speed and grit on the left side third pairing for a third pairing price. But if you’re chewing up $3M or more of your cap and counting on Russell in a Top 4 role, I’d say you’re shooting yourself in the foot.
  • Overall, that second period and the start of the third were … unfortunate.
  • Klefbom and Larsson were as awful this game as they were excellent last game.
  • Monster few minutes from Looch there, let’s hope this is the start of a reboot and not a one game thing.
  • Another OT … why can’t the Oilers look like the fresher team when the other team is on a “Scheduled Loss”? (third in four, second of back to back, on the road).
  • 3 on 3 is Connor McDavid time. And yeah, the Preds D did put his hand on the puck in the crease, and that IS a penalty shot.  But no wonder the refs missed it, no reason for them to be looking at the net at that point in time, amirite?
  • Oh well … the Oilers didn’t really deserve that game, and without a terrific game from Cam-bot and a good penalty kill that would have been bad, so a point is better than nothing.

Game at a Glance


Leaderboard

  • Matt Hendricks, Milan Lucic each had 1 goal
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins blasted 5 shots on goal
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins was most active on the team with 6 shot attempts
  • Matt Hendricks was the faceoff champ at 75.0% (3-1)
  • Brandon Davidson led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 66.7% (12-6)
  • Oscar Klefbom trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 22.0% (9-32)
  • Adam Larsson was the big hitter with 4

Goal Overview

Team Scorer Period Time Strength ShotType ShotDist Danger
NSH Viktor Arvidsson 2 17:12 EV Wrist 8.0 2.72
EDM Matt Hendricks 2 17:53 EV Wrist 30.0 0.87
NSH Ryan Ellis 3 6:55 EV Wrist 60.0 0.13
EDM Milan Lucic 3 15:31 PP Tip-In 11.0 2.07

Shootout: Letestu, save. Ellis, scores. Big Rig, pad save. Oh oh, Neal can win it … and does. Crap. Why wasn’t McDavid up first??

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle Who Won By How Much
Shots NSH 32 to 15 (68.1%) … 15 shots on net isn’t going to get you to two points very often
Average Shot Distance Against (ft) NSH 38 to 53 – this shot distance is bloated by a couple of super long distance Oilers shots
Corsi NSH 57 to 32 (64.0%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi NSH 59 to 31 (65.7%) OUCH
Fenwick NSH 41 to 22 (65.1%)
Dangerous Fenwick NSH 36 to 16 (69.6%) DOUBLE OUCH


Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics
Strength CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF% FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 32 57 36 30.9 59.3 34.3 22 41 34.9 15.6 35.6 30.4
All 56 78 41.8 54.2 81 40.1 43 58 42.6 45.8 47 49.3
Other Metrics
Team PP PPG PIM FO Hits Giveaways Takeaways
Oilers 4 1 24 40.9 29 20 16
Predators 5 0 22 59.1 22 17 12

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick: look for big discrepancies one way or the other.


Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres
Centre EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Hendrix 05:18 0.0 7 7 50 48 50 34.3
D. Caggiula 08:46 20.0 9 10 47.4 45.6 50 56.5
Letestube 07:58 8.3 9 14 39.1 37.2 44.4 28.5
Nuge 11:53 54.5 8 14 36.4 34.7 35.7 36.1
Eberle 12:01 54.5 7 16 30.4 28.7 29.4 21.2
Drai 16:53 43.8 8 19 29.6 28.3 25 31.6
McDavid 17:28 43.8 8 23 25.8 24.4 25 22.5
Wingers
Winger EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Kassian 07:03 14.3 8 11 42.1 40 37.5 24.2
Slappy 07:53 25.0 7 10 41.2 39.4 36.4 43.3
Looch 11:13 28.6 10 15 40 38.1 36.8 36.2
Poo 11:08 66.7 8 16 33.3 31.8 27.8 20.3
Maroon 14:53 50.0 7 15 31.8 30.4 28.6 39.9
Defensemen
Defense EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF% DFA60
Davidson 10:39 16.7 12 6 66.7 64.2 73.3 75.8 9.58
Seksy 14:49 38.5 9 14 39.1 37.5 36.4 53.2 14.98
M. Benning 12:39 14.3 12 11 52.2 49.9 62.5 47.1 23.24
Russell 15:24 38.5 12 20 37.5 36 33.3 36.4 35.06
Klefbom 18:05 47.4 9 32 22 20.8 18.8 18.7 83.61
Larsson 17:38 45.0 10 32 23.8 22.6 20.6 19 91.19
Defense Pairings
Pair EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
M. Benning Davidson 09:53 10.32 50.5 11 6 64.7 62.2 71.4 72.4
Seksy Russell 12:53 14.44 47.3 9 12 42.9 41.2 40 57.2
Larsson Klefbom 16:01 84.29 35.1 7 27 20.6 19.4 17.9 18.5
Forward Lines
Line EVTOI CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Looch D. Caggiula Slappy 07:26 6 9 40 38.2 40 53.5
Hendrix Kassian Letestube 03:43 5 5 50 47.8 55.6 52.9
Maroon Drai McDavid 13:53 7 14 33.3 31.8 28.6 39.9
Eberle Poo Nuge 09:20 6 12 33.3 31.9 30.8 35.1

Game Flows



Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up



Forward Lines – Shots Taken




Head to Head




NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Lucic’s big check on Watson
Arvidsson opens the scoring
Lucic’s game-tying tip-in
Ellis’ long-range goal
Hendricks’ five-hole tally
Talbot’s strong glove save
Rinne’s series of athletic saves
Rinne’s sliding save on Letestu
Rinne’s huge pad save in OT
Talbot dives on the puck
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