G3 2016-10-16 Ermagerd, wournded Burffalo r darngerous!

Game Notes EDM vs BUF

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Buffalo Sabres (Head Coach: Dan Bylsma) at Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan)

NHL Game #31, Rogers Place, 2016-10-16 05:00:00PM (GMT -0600)

Sabres 6-2

Referees: Tim Peel, Brad Watson
Linesmen: Ryan Gibbons, Devin Berg

Three Stars: Ryan O’Reilly; Brian Gionta; Leon Draisaitl

• OK, look, I know we’re all disgusted at a big loss to a badly injured bottom feeder like Buffalo.  But it’s important not to get overly caught up in the post facto narrative your brain is going to create as it looks through the lens of that putrid score.
• The truth is that the Oilers had a sh*t ton of great chances, and whiffed on a bunch of them.  And the few they didn’t whiff on were mostly stopped.
• The Sabres on the other hand had fewer and less dangerous chances, but seemingly scored on all of them (and by my count, scored on three that weren’t really chances at all!)
• Make no mistake, these were two world-class tire fires going at it, and the Oilers have a lot to clean up, just as they did after the Flames victories.  But the Sabres were by far the larger and stinkier of the two tire fires.  Rewatch the game if you don’t believe me (I’m doing that right now to confirm my post game comments, and yes, it hurts a lot).
• The truth is, we see this kind of thing regularly – goaltending extremes will pretty much always override whatever happens with the rest of the team.  What I mean by that is that great goaltending will overcome a huge deficit in play, and bad goaltending will torch a big advantage in play. And the latter is what happened tonight.
  • What’s that old saying?  “Goaltending is 50% of the game – unless you don’t have it, in which case it’s 100%”.  Yup.
• On a side note, the reffing was horrific, as it always is when Tim Peel is soiling the ice with his presence.  But that’s not why the Oilers lost.

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Game at a Glance

Leaderboard

• Milan Lucic, Benoit Pouliot each had 1 goal
• Leon Draisaitl blasted 6 shots on goal
• Leon Draisaitl was most active on the team with 8 shot attempts
• Leon Draisaitl was the faceoff champ at 70.0% (7-3)
• Patrick Maroon, Jesse Puljujarvi drove shot attempts most with on-ice 5v5 CF% of 75.0
• Anton Lander trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 50.0% (4-4)
• Milan Lucic was the big hitter with 5

Goal Overview

Team	Period	Time	Strength	ShotType	ShotDist	Danger
BUF	1	2:37	EV	Wrist	13.0	2.26
BUF	1	7:14	PP	Snap	38.0	0.68
EDM	1	17:20	EV	Wrist	14.0	2.17
EDM	1	19:00	EV	Wrist	11.0	2.44
BUF	2	3:53	EV	Wrist	96.0	0
BUF	2	9:22	EV	Tip-In	12.0	1.84
BUF	3	0:37	EV	Wrist	25.0	1.20
BUF	3	4:36	PP	Snap	26.0	1.44

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle	Who Won	By How Much
Shots	EDM	26 to 16 (61.9%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft)	EDM	33 to 27
Corsi	EDM	48 to 31 (60.8%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi	EDM	43 to 35 (54.8%)
Fenwick	EDM	35 to 22 (61.4%)
Dangerous Fenwick	EDM	45 to 23 (66.3%)

Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics

Strength	CF	CA	CF%	SACF	SACA	SACF%	FF	FA	FF%	DFF	DFA	DFF%
EV	48	31	60.8	43	35.4	54.8	35	22	61.4	44.9	22.8	66.3
All	58	44	56.9	51.4	51.1	50.2	43	33	56.6	58.1	35.8	61.9

Other Metrics

Team	PP	PPG	PIM	FO	Hits	Giveaways	Takeaways
Oilers	1	0	16	48.3	32	12	7
Sabres	6	2	6	51.7	14	5	1

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Look for big discrepenacies one way or the other:

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres

Centre	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Drai	15:58	71.4	20	12	62.5	56.9	64	70.5
McDavid	17:24	55.6	13	9	59.1	53.1	64.7	61
Pitlick	06:46	50.0	4	3	57.1	50.4	33.3	19.4
Nuge	16:47	50.0	16	12	57.1	51	60	71.8
Eberle	16:32	71.4	18	14	56.2	50.2	56.5	56.6
Letestube	09:13	40.0	8	7	53.3	46.5	44.4	50.3
Lander	07:12	100.0	4	4	50	42.9	50	28.1

Wingers

Winger	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Pulju	11:36	0.0	9	3	75	70.2	62.5	81.6
Maroon	16:23	66.7	15	5	75	70.5	78.6	84.2
Kassian	10:47	0.0	14	7	66.7	61.3	66.7	78.5
Poo	04:34	0.0	6	4	60	56.5	66.7	76.1
Looch	18:03	75.0	17	13	56.7	50.3	57.1	56

Defensemen

Defense	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%	DFA60
Russell	19:26	42.9	17	9	65.4	60	70.6	75.2	15.75
Seksy	18:18	42.9	19	9	67.9	62.5	73.7	76.6	16.72
Gryba	14:23	33.3	13	11	54.2	48.4	46.7	60.4	30.03
Klefbom	16:14	60.0	12	9	57.1	51.7	61.1	59.5	31.79
Larsson	17:26	75.0	19	11	63.3	57.5	64	65.7	36.14
Nurse	15:03	55.6	16	13	55.2	48.4	50	60.7	36.28

Defense Pairings

Pair	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Gryba Klefbom	02:12	0	NaN	0	0	NaN	NaN	NaN	NaN
Seksy Russell	16:20	18.73	34.5	17	9	65.4	60	70.6	75.2
Larsson Nurse	03:54	29.23	25	5	2	71.4	63.3	66.7	74.3
Nurse Gryba	10:20	41.81	41.8	11	11	50	43.9	42.9	54.3
Larsson Klefbom	12:14	42.18	23.4	11	9	55	49.6	58.8	57.9

Forward Lines

Line	EVTOI	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Maroon Drai Pulju	03:43	4	0	100	100	100	100
Maroon Drai McDavid	09:58	10	4	71.4	65.6	81.8	84.6
Kassian Letestube Pulju	02:08	4	2	66.7	60.7	60	84.5
Eberle Looch Nuge	10:18	10	6	62.5	55.8	66.7	83.8
Kassian Poo Nuge	04:22	6	3	66.7	63.1	75	80.3
Eberle Looch McDavid	04:31	3	2	60	54.5	50	10.4
Pitlick Lander Letestube	03:15	2	1	66.7	61.9	NaN	NaN

Game Flows

Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up

(click image to embiggen)

Forward Lines – Shots Taken

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Player/Pair/Line – Head to Head – CF, DFF, TOI

(click any image to embiggen)

NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Okposo’s first goal with Sabres

Lucic’s first goal as an Oiler

Gionta’s tip-in goal

Lehner’s point-blank save

Gionta’s second goal of game

Pouliot buries the rebound

O’Reilly’s power-play goal

Talbot’s great glove save

Lehner’s strong kick save

O’Reilly’s goal from center ice

Moulson’s top-shelf goal