G1 2016-10-13 Eat poo and die, Flames!

Game Notes EDM vs CGY

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Calgary Flames (Head Coach: Glen Gulutzan) at Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan)

NHL Game #3, Rogers Place, 2016-10-12 08:00:00PM (GMT -0600)

Oilers 7-4

Referees: Brian Pochmara, Kyle Rehman
Linesmen: Mark Wheler, Darren Gibbs

Three Stars: Connor McDavid; Kris Russell; Mikael Backlund

• OK, it’s a rare opening night win and equally rare win against those evil red barbarians, so the first priority is to enjoy (and possibly gloat).
• Second, this win was All McDavid, All the Time. He won the game for the Oilers in the face of what was, at times, gross incompetence from his teammates, especially on the putrid special teams.
• For a game where the Oilers were clearly the better 5v5 team, the shot metrics (which favour the Flames) look mysterious.  You can solve the issue by looking at the gameflow: Oilers the better team for almost the entire game, but the Flames with about 10 minutes of massive pushback in the third swung the numbers.  The shot distance also tells a story, with the Flames bloating their numbers with a lot of shots from the outside.
• Similarly, Klefbom and Larsson were solid, but ended with poor numbers. The danger adjusted numbers tell the story: they were both positive on the night. So a lot of those outside shots probably were against the bulletproof KlefLar.  Checking the head to head, Larsson was hard matched against Johnny Cocky, so that’s a real shutdown result. That’s exactly what Larsson’s numbers in New Jersey suggested he would bring.  Keep it up!

Other notes:

• 1 for 3 on the PK against what last year was a very average Flames powerplay, and 1 for 6 and -1 on the powerplay.  Bring that against a team that isn’t a bottom feeder, and the Oilers get eaten for lunch. This should have been a blowout.  Fix it, TMc, fix it.
• I thought Looch was ineffective at 5v5, and a liability on the PP.  Hey, it’s his first for-realsies game with a new team, so patience is warranted. But I hope, IF it turns out he isn’t a good fit with McDavid, the Oilers don’t get stubborn.
• Decent game from Kris Russell … however, as someone who watched the guy a lot last year, this isn’t that unusual. He does have some good games. (And it doesn’t hurt when your most common teammates were Sekera and McDavid) If you want to see why he has fans concerned (and Flames watchers happy), watch about halfway through the first period. There’s a simple breakout chance where Russell freely coughs up the puck in an incredibly dangerous place, resulting in a tire fire and multiple dangerous chances against (and I think a blocked shot or two). The problem with Russell is he has lots of games where those are the norm. Would be great if those are behind him but you’ll forgive me if I remain skeptical …

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Game at a Glance

Leaderboard

• Connor McDavid led the way with 2 goals
• Connor McDavid blasted 6 shots on goal
• Connor McDavid was most active on the team with 10 shot attempts

Huh, it’s almost like Connor McDavid made a big difference in this game.

• Mark Letestu was the faceoff champ at 64.3% (9-5)
• Jordan Eberle led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 63.6% (14-8)
• Mark Letestu trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 28.0% (7-18)
• Milan Lucic was the big hitter with 6

Goal Overview

Team	Period	Time	Strength	ShotType	ShotDist	Danger
EDM	1	1:10	EV	Tip-In	18.0	1.01
CGY	1	1:46	EV	Wrist	8.0	2.72
EDM	1	5:34	EV	Snap	35.0	0.83
EDM	1	15:12	EV	Backhand	9.0	2.20
CGY	2	8:26	SH	Snap	34.0	0.89
CGY	2	10:51	SH	Backhand	8.0	2.34
EDM	2	12:17	EV	Backhand	10.0	2.06
EDM	2	14:33	EV	Snap	12.0	2.62
EDM	3	9:00	PP	Snap	34.0	0.89
CGY	3	11:29	PP	Slap	44.0	0.60
EDM	3	18:38	EV	Wrist	125.0	0.25

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle	Who Won	By How Much
Shots	CGY	27 to 23 (54.0%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft)	Tied	34 to 34
Corsi	CGY	44 to 36 (55.0%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi	CGY	41 to 39 (51.6%)
Fenwick	CGY	36 to 30 (54.5%)
Dangerous Fenwick	CGY	28 to 26 (51.6%)

Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics

Strength	CF	CA	CF%	SACF	SACA	SACF%	FF	FA	FF%	DFF	DFA	DFF%
EV	36	44	45	38.7	41.2	48.4	30	36	45.5	26.3	28	48.4
All	52	64	44.8	55.8	59.9	48.2	39	54	41.9	38	48.7	43.8

Other Metrics

Team	PP	PPG	PIM	FO	Hits	Giveaways	Takeaways
Oilers	6	1	13	39.7	25	12	8
Flames	3	1	19	60.3	24	12	5

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

New chart! Shows how the players did directly comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick. Look for big discrepenacies one way or the other.

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres

Centre	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Eberle	13:46	77.8	15	8	65.2	68.5	70	77.3
McDavid	16:34	63.6	17	10	63	66.3	69.6	76.1
Drai	10:38	40.0	9	11	45	48.9	44.4	29.6
T. Pitlick	08:51	50.0	6	13	31.6	34.9	33.3	38.5
Nuge	09:47	66.7	5	12	29.4	31.8	18.2	17.3
Letestube	10:15	0.0	7	18	28	30.9	27.3	23.7

Wingers

Winger	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
J. Puljujarvi	08:19	100.0	7	5	58.3	61.9	55.6	54
M. Lucic	13:19	77.8	12	10	54.5	58	61.1	70.5
Maroon	10:49	40.0	11	11	50	53.9	47.4	34.8
Kassian	08:08	100.0	9	10	47.4	50.3	52.9	48.4
Poo	09:57	57.1	6	13	31.6	34.2	23.1	25.3
Slappy	09:22	25.0	5	11	31.2	34.4	18.2	14.3

Defensemen

Defense	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%	DFA60
K. Russell	16:07	66.7	15	15	50	52.7	54.2	73.4	16.75
Seksy	15:40	60.0	14	11	56	59	59.1	60.6	24.13
A. Larsson	17:34	25.0	11	15	42.3	46.4	42.9	53.4	30.4
Klefbom	16:55	33.3	10	18	35.7	40.1	37.5	51.5	42.56
Davidson	07:08	100.0	9	9	50	52.3	46.2	27	63.93
Nurse	13:36	85.7	13	20	39.4	42.7	35.7	21.5	74.12

Defense Pairings

Pair	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Seksy K. Russell	12:28	13.96	41	12	9	57.1	59.8	61.1	75.6
A. Larsson Klefbom	12:32	26.81	33.8	8	9	47.1	51.8	50	62
A. Larsson Nurse	03:25	52.68	39	1	4	20	23.4	20	8.8
Nurse Davidson	06:15	72.96	26.1	9	9	50	52.3	46.2	27

Forward Lines

Line	EVTOI	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Eberle M. Lucic McDavid	10:24	12	7	63.2	66.4	68.8	82.1
Maroon Drai J. Puljujarvi	06:01	5	5	50	53.6	50	50.1
T. Pitlick Kassian Letestube	03:54	4	7	36.4	38.6	40	40.2
Slappy Poo Nuge	04:58	4	7	36.4	38.6	16.7	23.9
Kassian Poo Nuge	02:10	1	3	25	27.3	33.3	5.6
T. Pitlick Slappy Letestube	02:52	1	4	20	24.6	20	4.2

Game Flows

Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up

Forward Lines – Shots Taken

Head to Head

NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Kassian dekes for breakaway goal

Maroon opens the scoring

Eberle’s empty-netter

Oilers icons open Rogers Place

Elliott flashes the leather

Wideman rips PPG top shelf

Puljujarvi’s first NHL goal

Joey Moss’ ceremonial puck drop

Frolik ties game with SHG

Brouwer nets breakaway for SHG

McDavid shows off moves for goal

Chiasson goes five-hole for goal

McDavid beats Elliot to grab lead

Pitlick buries wrist shot on rush

Talbot’s pair of saves