Round 2 Game 2 – Oilers vs *ucks

Game Notes ANA vs EDM

Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan) at Anaheim Ducks (Head Coach: Randy Carlyle)

NHL Game #242, Honda Center, 2017-04-28 08:30:00PM (GMT -0600)

Oilers 2-1

Referees: Wes McCauley, Francis Charron, Brad Watson
Linesmen: Steve Barton, Jonny Murray

Three Stars: Cam Talbot; Ryan Getzlaf; Cam Fowler

So … what can one say about this game?
- ALL HAIL TALBOT!
- ALL HAIL POST!
- ALSO TALBOT!
Yikes. This is a game where you just don’t want to look at the stats and just concentrate on the score. That said! If you’ve read my stuff over the year, you know that I’m a big believer in the stats revealing the underlying and unvarnished truth of a game, regardless of the score. And the underlying truth of this game (and to some extent Game 1) is “oh man, that was fortunate!”
So does that mean I’m really worried about the remaining games – that the tide will inevitably swing in the Ducks favour? Not so fast!
Inasmuch as the raw numbers look ugly, the fact also is that both games were pretty much dead even through two periods of both games. All of the statistical edge, ALL OF IT, is from two periods and two periods alone. After the Oilers had taken the lead.
I’d be far more concerned if the Ducks had dominated from the get go. They did not. It was a relatively even battle, and the Oilers went ahead because they got better goaltending and better special teams. That the play was even up, on the road against a healthy rested and veteran team is a good sign for the Oilers.
ESPECIALLY in a game 2 where the road team has won game 1 – the home team tends to play desperate and the road team tends to be a bit complacent. I expected this to be a lopsided win for the Ducks UNLESS Talbot went psycho – which he did.
I expect a MUCH better game from the Oilers in Game 3. The Ducks won’t go down easy, but based on what they showed through four of the six periods so far, winning four games in five against Talbot is a tall mountain to climb.

Game at a Glance

Leaderboard

Andrej Sekera, Patrick Maroon each had 1 goal
Patrick Maroon, Oscar Klefbom each put 4 shots on goal
Andrej Sekera, Patrick Maroon, Oscar Klefbom each put 5 shot attempts at goal
Drake Caggiula, Zack Kassian were faceoff leaders with 100.0%
Milan Lucic led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 46.7% (14-16)
Drake Caggiula trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 25.0% (1-3)
Andrej Sekera, Matt Benning each thumped the other team 4 times

Goal Overview

Team	Scorer	Period	Time	Strength	ShotType	ShotDist	Danger
EDM	Andrej Sekera	1	1:05	EV	Slap	45.0	0.57
EDM	Patrick Maroon	2	6:41	PP	Tip-In	8.0	2.79
ANA	Jakob Silfverberg	2	15:34	PP	Wrist	28.0	0.99

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle	Who Won	By How Much
Shots	ANA	27 to 15 (64.3%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft)	ANA	40 to 42
Corsi	ANA	64 to 35 (64.6%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi	ANA	58 to 39 (59.4%)
Fenwick	ANA	50 to 27 (64.9%)
Dangerous Fenwick	ANA	44 to 23 (65.4%)

Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics

Strength	CF	CA	CF%	SACF	SACA	SACF%	FF	FA	FF%	DFF	DFA	DFF%
EV	35	64	35.4	39.4	57.7	40.6	27	50	35.1	23.3	43.9	34.6
All	48	85	36.1	54	76.6	41.3	39	67	36.8	43.2	63.8	40.4

Other Metrics

Team	PP	PPG	PIM	FO	Hits	Giveaways	Takeaways
Ducks	4	1	8	63.8	32	15	7
Oilers	4	1	8	36.2	25	13	8

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick: look for big discrepancies one way or the other.

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres

Centre	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
McDavid	16:00	33.3	16	21	43.2	48.8	45.2	52
Eberle	12:03	57.1	9	15	37.5	42.7	27.8	18.5
Drai	13:54	21.4	12	21	36.4	41.7	35.7	39.1
Desharnais	07:47	50.0	6	12	33.3	38.3	38.5	29.9
Nuge	14:39	55.6	9	20	31	35.9	21.7	12.4
Letestube	11:26	33.3	6	16	27.3	31.8	29.4	27.3
Caggiula	03:35	50.0	1	3	25	29.1	33.3	69.7

Wingers

Winger	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Looch	14:07	57.1	14	16	46.7	52	42.9	26.6
Slappy	08:49	50.0	8	13	38.1	43.3	46.7	44.3
Maroon	13:58	30.8	11	23	32.4	37.5	31	36.7
Poo	11:28	20.0	7	16	30.4	35.2	35.3	36.9
Kassian	09:59	33.3	6	16	27.3	31.9	31.2	33.5

Defensemen

Defense	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%	DFA60
Seksy	16:51	46.7	10	22	31.2	36.3	34.8	36.9	48.07
Russell	15:59	46.7	13	22	37.1	42.4	38.5	41.2	51.8
Klefbom	16:39	26.7	11	24	31.4	36	33.3	28.2	60.18
Larsson	16:48	26.7	13	25	34.2	39	34.4	28.6	60.71
Nurse	13:13	37.5	12	18	40	45.8	36.4	39	60.83
Benning	12:30	37.5	11	17	39.3	45.1	33.3	34.5	64.32

Defense Pairings

Pair	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Seksy Russell	15:08	53.52	31.7	10	20	33.3	38.5	34.8	36.9
Larsson Klefbom	15:26	64.92	45.4	11	23	32.4	37	33.3	28.2
Nurse Benning	12:07	66.35	43.4	11	17	39.3	45.1	33.3	34.5

Forward Lines

Line	EVTOI	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Caggiula Kassian Letestube	02:33	1	3	25	29.1	33.3	69.7
Maroon Drai McDavid	10:41	10	17	37	42.5	39.1	48.4
Eberle Looch Nuge	08:35	8	8	50	55.2	45.5	40.9
Kassian Letestube Poo	04:37	3	9	25	29.5	25	19.7
Desharnais Slappy Poo	03:32	2	5	28.6	33	33.3	16.7