Round 2 Game 1 – Oilers vs *ucks

Game Notes ANA vs EDM

Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan) at Anaheim Ducks (Head Coach: Randy Carlyle)

NHL Game #241, Honda Center, 2017-04-26 08:30:00PM (GMT -0600)

Oilers 5-3

Referees: Brad Watson, Chris Lee, Brad Meier
Linesmen: Pierre Racicot, Matt MacPherson

Three Stars: [not given in the NHL data feed]

Woot, what a start!
A dead even game through two, then the Ducks started to push back after they went down 2-1, then pushed back HARD after they went down 3-1.
- That’s not surprising – this is the essence of score effects.
- Micah Blake McCurdy (who knows a thing or two about score effects) has shown that these are heavily dependent on venue – it’s the home team that pushes hardest when they are down.
- Even so, that was not fun, it felt like the Oilers hardly left their own zone the entire third period (luckily when they did, they scored) … but let’s not do that again, shall we!
Larsson and Letestu – scoring Gods! Who saw that coming?
The Sekera Russell pair has struggled most games this playoffs. I’ve seen some people theorize that the playoff format really lets teams scout and target Russell’s weaknesses (he really really can’t move the puck), and that’s why he struggles in the playoffs, as he also did last year with Dallas. Maybe.
I think McDavid has the flu that’s been going around. Yes, he’s dragging a couple of *ucks with him everywhere he goes, but to my eyes he still doesn’t have his usual burst. Looks like Drai is recovered though!
This is still going to be a brutal series, and the Ducks got away with a helluva a lot of dirty sh*t, but they did get called enough that maybe they’ll tone it down a bit and try and play hockey (at which the Oilers are better).
Crystal ball: if this plays out the way most series do, the Ducks will be desperate in Game 2 and the Oilers will be comfortable (having taken back home ice advantage), and it will likely be a commanding win for the Ducks. That’s usually how these things go.

Game at a Glance

Leaderboard

Adam Larsson, Mark Letestu each had 2 goals
Mark Letestu blasted 5 shots on goal
Mark Letestu, Oscar Klefbom each put 6 shot attempts at goal
Jordan Eberle was the faceoff champ at 100.0% (1-0)
Adam Larsson led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 52.6% (20-18)
Andrej Sekera trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 21.9% (7-25)
Matt Benning was the big hitter with 6

Goal Overview

Team	Scorer	Period	Time	Strength	ShotType	ShotDist	Danger
ANA	Ryan Getzlaf	2	0:37	PP	Wrist	28.0	0.99
EDM	Mark Letestu	2	6:22	PP	Wrist	12.0	2.35
EDM	Mark Letestu	3	6:23	PP	Wrist	16.0	1.99
EDM	Adam Larsson	3	8:03	EV	Wrist	30.0	0.87
ANA	Patrick Eaves	3	9:22	EV	Wrist	10.0	2.53
ANA	Jakob Silfverberg	3	10:47	EV	Tip-In	10.0	2.31
EDM	Adam Larsson	3	15:20	EV	Wrist	9.0	2.63
EDM	Leon Draisaitl	3	18:55	EN	Wrist	20.0	1.63

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle	Who Won	By How Much
Shots	ANA	31 to 22 (58.5%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft)	EDM	31 to 28
Corsi	ANA	60 to 40 (60.0%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi	ANA	58 to 42 (58.1%)
Fenwick	ANA	46 to 30 (60.5%)
Dangerous Fenwick	ANA	48 to 37 (56.4%)

Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics

Strength	CF	CA	CF%	SACF	SACA	SACF%	FF	FA	FF%	DFF	DFA	DFF%
EV	40	60	40	41.6	57.7	41.9	30	46	39.5	36.8	47.7	43.6
All	59	72	45	61.1	69.5	46.8	43	57	43	60.1	58	50.9

Other Metrics

Team	PP	PPG	PIM	FO	Hits	Giveaways	Takeaways
Ducks	3	1	16	56.7	46	12	6
Oilers	5	2	12	43.3	27	14	5

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick: look for big discrepancies one way or the other.

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres

Centre	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
McDavid	15:00	14.3	15	18	45.5	47.7	39.1	42.6
Drai	16:13	14.3	16	20	44.4	47	38.5	41.3
Letestube	12:50	33.3	10	14	41.7	43.2	44.4	43.8
Caggiula	11:57	37.5	8	13	38.1	39.5	40	38.2
Nuge	12:54	33.3	7	12	36.8	38.5	29.4	30.6
Desharnais	09:52	75.0	9	16	36	37.9	47.4	58.4
Eberle	11:39	37.5	6	11	35.3	36.3	26.7	26.7

Wingers

Winger	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Maroon	15:18	14.3	15	18	45.5	47.7	39.1	42.6
Poo	09:59	75.0	10	16	38.5	40.4	50	59.1
Slappy	09:59	75.0	10	16	38.5	40.4	50	59.1
Looch	12:09	33.3	7	12	36.8	38.5	29.4	30.6
Kassian	11:39	37.5	8	14	36.4	37.9	37.5	35.6

Defensemen

Defense	EVTOI	OZS%2	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%	DFA60
Seksy	17:20	36.4	7	25	21.9	23.6	31.8	35.9	49.15
Russell	16:17	41.7	9	22	29	31.1	39.1	41.8	52.69
Larsson	17:32	35.7	21	18	53.8	55.8	53.3	57.4	57.49
Klefbom	16:51	30.8	17	19	47.2	49.5	48.3	51.4	63.03
Nurse	14:41	57.1	14	16	46.7	47.7	30.4	33.3	64.56
Benning	14:30	57.1	12	20	37.5	38.7	28	27.1	68.28

Defense Pairings

Pair	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Seksy Russell	15:05	53.3	28.5	7	21	25	27	35	37.2
Larsson Klefbom	15:30	65.03	30.6	16	18	47.1	49.3	48.1	52.4
Nurse Benning	12:54	73.49	30.5	11	16	40.7	41.8	27.3	27.5

Forward Lines

Line	EVTOI	CF	CA	CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%
Desharnais Slappy Poo	09:52	9	16	36	37.9	47.4	58.4
Maroon Drai McDavid	13:56	15	18	45.5	47.7	39.1	42.6
Caggiula Kassian Letestube	10:32	8	13	38.1	39.5	40	38.2
Eberle Looch Nuge	10:39	6	11	35.3	36.3	26.7	26.7