G20 2016-11-21 Hawks wishing they were as good as the Cubs

Game Notes EDM vs CHI


Chicago Blackhawks (Head Coach: Joel Quenneville) at Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan)

NHL Game #281, Rogers Place, 2016-11-21 07:00:00PM (GMT -0700)

Oilers 5-0

Referees: Jon McIsaac, Mike Leggo
Linesmen: Kiel Murchison, Bryan Pancich

Three Stars: Oscar Klefbom; Cam Talbot; Connor McDavid

  • Ha ha ha ha, that was probably the most fun game against Chicago since the Sam Gagner 8 point night.
  • The fancies suggest a tough game, but you don’t need that if your PP scores three! Plus the DangerFens actually suggested a breakeven game – if the DFF’s were score adjusted, the Oilers win the fancystats too. As it is, they won the shot distance matchup handily.
  • It’s about time fortune turned – I said this after the Anaheim game:

Right now, as painful as this streak of losses is (and losses tend to be more painful than wins), the situation is just the opposite. The Oilers are having unsustainably bad sh% & chances vs shots conversion (that is to say, they are converting excellent shot rates to dangerous chances at an unsustainably low pace) lately. They’re missing wide open nets, multiple times a game.

Just as the good streak inevitably ended, so too will this bad streak, and probably soon. (I’m going on record in saying so).

The Oilers were nowhere near as good as the early winning streak said we were.

The Oiler are nowhere near as bad as this recent losing streak says we are.

  • The Dallas game had some luck, this game was not luck!
  • Check out the shot distances in the table below. Despite the fancies, the Oilers got a shutout because a. Cam, and b. average CHI shot distance was 45 ft. Not gonna score much from there. (Oilers were 33 ft)
  • The rink maps as well as the fancystat tables also suggest a masterful job done by the Oiler D keeping the Hawks at a distance at even strength.
  • Seksy/Russell had a terrific game given they were hard matched against BOTH the Kane and the Toews line.  Meanwhile, KlefLar were mostly out against the Keith/Seabrook pair, but not really against a specific line. That’s kind of weird!
  • Eberle – man, is he snakebit. Great game apart from, you know, not scoring.
  • Other than that, the only thing I’ll add is: ref you suck, ref you suck!

Game at a Glance


Leaderboard

  • Leon Draisaitl led the way with 2 goals
  • Jordan Eberle blasted 6 shots on goal – man that guys is snakebit
  • Jordan Eberle was most active on the team with 9 shot attempts
  • Matt Hendricks was the faceoff champ at 66.7% (2-1)
  • Jordan Eberle led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 63.2% (12-7)
  • Drake Caggiula trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 12.5% (3-21)
  • Adam Larsson was the big hitter with 5

Goal Overview

Team Scorer Period Time Strength ShotType ShotDist Danger
EDM Oscar Klefbom 1 2:39 EV Slap 50.0 0.47
EDM Leon Draisaitl 1 19:26 PP Tip-In 16.0 1.18
EDM Andrej Sekera 2 19:52 PP Snap 56.0 0.18 <- this is misleading, this is one of the areas where automated shot danger systems fail. This was the Maroon screen.
EDM Anton Slepyshev 3 7:17 EV Snap 34.0 0.89
EDM Leon Draisaitl 3 18:35 PP Snap 15.0 2.36

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle Who Won By How Much
Shots CHI 24 to 19 (55.8%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft) EDM 45 to 33 <- this and DangerFen and the PP and Tam Calbot were why we won
Corsi CHI 50 to 33 (60.2%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi CHI 46 to 36 (56.3%)
Fenwick CHI 32 to 28 (53.3%)
Dangerous Fenwick Tied 22 to 22


Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics
Strength CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF% FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 33 50 39.8 36 46.3 43.7 28 32 46.7 21.6 22.4 49.2
All 49 61 44.5 53.5 56.3 48.7 40 40 50 34.4 35.2 49.5
Other Metrics
Team PP PPG PIM FO Hits Giveaways Takeaways
Oilers 4 2 4 48.2 19 8 4
Blackhawks 2 0 8 51.8 11 8 8

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Comparing raw Corsi with DangerousFenwick: look for big discrepancies one way or the other.


Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres
Centre EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Eberle 11:06 28.6 12 7 63.2 66.3 64.3 74.4
Nuge 12:49 25.0 12 9 57.1 60.4 60 62.3
Drai 12:21 50.0 12 13 48 51.9 55 64.5
McDavid 12:38 0.0 8 12 40 44.1 46.2 42.6
Hendrix 12:31 66.7 4 19 17.4 20.4 25 29.3
Pitlick 12:20 80.0 3 18 14.3 17 20 22.6
D. Caggiula 13:09 66.7 3 21 12.5 15.1 18.8 21.3
Wingers
Winger EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Maroon 12:29 25.0 12 10 54.5 58.2 60 63.6
Kassian 11:37 75.0 10 9 52.6 56.6 58.8 64.3
Slappy 12:31 75.0 9 11 45 48.8 52.9 58.4
Looch 12:11 0.0 8 10 44.4 48.6 50 44.5
Pulju 12:21 0.0 6 11 35.3 39.2 50 29.5
Defensemen
Defense EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF% DFA60
Seksy 15:35 27.3 11 9 55 58.7 61.5 48 20.79
M. Benning 14:04 70.0 9 20 31 34.6 42.9 50.6 21.33
Russell 18:21 27.3 13 13 50 54 58.8 55.6 21.91
Nurse 15:29 70.0 9 23 28.1 31.5 37.5 37.5 31
Klefbom 16:47 28.6 13 17 43.3 47.6 47.8 56.8 32.17
Larsson 18:26 28.6 11 18 37.9 42 40.9 43.2 34.5
Defense Pairings
Pair EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Seksy Russell 15:12 16.58 36.8 11 8 57.9 61.9 66.7 54
Nurse M. Benning 13:43 21.87 53.2 8 20 28.6 31.9 40 45.2
Larsson Klefbom 15:21 32.44 42.8 10 14 41.7 46 44.4 47.2
Forward Lines
Line EVTOI CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Eberle Maroon Nuge 09:42 12 6 66.7 69.7 69.2 79.4
Drai Slappy Kassian 09:29 9 7 56.2 59.8 60 62.6
Looch McDavid Pulju 10:14 6 8 42.9 47.1 55.6 34.8
Pitlick Hendrix D. Caggiula 10:06 3 13 18.8 22.1 25 26.3

Game Flows



Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up



Forward Lines – Shots Taken




Head to Head




NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Russell’s big hit on Motte
Slepyshev’s sharp-angle goal
Crawford’s save on Draisaitl
Draisaitl’s power-play goal
Talbot’s excellent save on Keith
Talbot gloves down Panarin’s shot
Talbot’s blocker save
Sekera tallies PPG late in 2nd
Talbot denies Hinostroza in close
Draisaitl slams home second PPG
Klefbom hands Oilers early lead
Talbot’s early save on Toews
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