G10 2016-11-01 Oilers go retro, nostalgic for the tire fire days

Game Notes TOR vs EDM


Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan) at Toronto Maple Leafs (Head Coach: Mike Babcock)

NHL Game #134, Air Canada Centre, 2016-11-01 05:30:00PM (GMT -0600)

Maple Leafs 3-2 (OT)

Referees: Garrett Rank, Francois StLaurent
Linesmen: Brad Kovachik, David Brisebois

Three Stars: Nazem Kadri; Frederik Andersen; Connor Brown

  • Not much for game notes tonight – I only got to watch part of the first period, then I had to run to my two youngest twins soccer game so I had to follow along on Twitter. Now I’m catching up on fast forward via PVR!
  • That gross uncalled interference by Kadri on McDavid that led directly to the first Leafs goal? Better get used to it. That’s what teams are going to use to try and shut down McDavid. The rest of the team has to step up when that happens.
  • And that’s doubly true if the Oilers powerplay doesn’t start to make teams pay. Shutting down McDavid with hooks and holds only comes with upside without a PP.
  • Other than that, you’ll note that the Oilers won on the raw metrics but lost on the dangerous ones. The disparity in the gameflow is wild, I’m not sure I’ve seen anything like that before!
    • The Oil have been riding the reverse effect for a while now, up until the Ottawa game. That’s the risk – counting only on being ‘dangerous’ is dangerous. It tends to ebb and flow relative to raw metrics, and does so unpredictably.  Shot volume for and against, for all its warts, remains critically important in the long run.
  • Other than that, my stats really liked Pulju/Drai, thought Klef/Larss were OK, and were not happy with Eberle or Looch (at all), nor Kris Russell / Andrej Sekera.
  • The two Russell pairings had an average shot against distance of 15 ft.  FIFTEEN FEET! Twice that number is still not a good number. Man.
  • Hey, at least we got a point. Yay.

Game at a Glance


Leaderboard

  • Darnell Nurse, Anton Lander each had 1 goal
  • Oscar Klefbom blasted 8 shots on goal
  • Jesse Puljujarvi was most active on the team with 12 shot attempts
  • Anton Lander, Benoit Pouliot were faceoff leaders with 100.0%
  • Anton Lander led the team in on-ice 5v5 shot attempts at 76.9% (10-3)
  • Milan Lucic trailed the team in 5v5 on-ice shot attempts at 29.0% (9-22)
  • Darnell Nurse was the big hitter with 5

Goal Overview

Team Period Time Strength ShotType ShotDist Danger
TOR 1 1:29 EV Wrist 10.0 2.53
EDM 1 19:29 EV Slap 17.0 1.93
TOR 2 3:14 EV Wrist 13.0 2.26
EDM 3 8:38 EV Snap 61.0 0.25
TOR 4 0:12 4v4 Wrist 11.0 2.44

Who Won the 5v5 Shot Battle?

Which Battle Who Won By How Much
Shots EDM 40 to 30 (57.1%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft) TOR 25 to 36
Corsi EDM 66 to 53 (55.5%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi EDM 65 to 54 (54.5%)
Fenwick EDM 55 to 40 (57.9%)
Dangerous Fenwick TOR 61 to 50 (54.8%)


Detailed Metrics

Shot Metrics
Strength CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF% FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 66 53 55.5 64.7 54.1 54.5 55 40 57.9 50.3 61.1 45.2
All 76 58 56.7 74.4 59.3 55.6 62 42 59.6 60.8 64.5 48.5
Other Metrics
Team PP PPG PIM FO Hits Giveaways Takeaways
Maple Leafs 1 0 6 49.1 34 12 12
Oilers 2 0 4 50.9 32 6 8

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Look for big discrepancies one way or the other.


Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres
Centre EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Lander 09:31 75.0 10 3 76.9 75.7 75 59.8
Pitlick 09:18 100.0 7 3 70 68.6 70 50.3
Drai 14:21 88.9 23 11 67.6 66.8 74.1 57.4
Letestube 07:50 71.4 7 5 58.3 57.1 63.6 42.1
Nuge 16:03 100.0 24 19 55.8 54.9 57.1 45.5
McDavid 19:31 61.5 15 21 41.7 40.5 37 33.9
Eberle 14:21 28.6 10 23 30.3 29.6 26.9 17.9
Wingers
Winger EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Pulju 13:57 88.9 26 11 70.3 69.8 78.6 67.1
Maroon 15:46 90.0 26 14 65 64.3 74.2 58.9
Poo 12:57 100.0 21 12 63.6 62.8 67.9 57.7
Kassian 14:00 100.0 21 15 58.3 57.2 60.7 54.1
Looch 14:52 28.6 9 22 29 28.1 21.7 17.4
Defensemen
Defense EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF% DFA60
Larsson 19:19 70.0 26 15 63.4 62.8 68.8 61.1 44.11
Klefbom 21:22 80.0 24 19 55.8 55 62.5 54.7 48.02
M. Benning 13:50 100.0 24 15 61.5 60.3 60 47.7 67.66
Nurse 18:40 85.7 21 25 45.7 44.5 45.7 33.6 76.18
Seksy 15:26 63.6 21 13 61.8 60.8 63.3 45 83.59
Russell 18:56 69.2 15 19 44.1 43.1 46.7 30.4 95.07
Defense Pairings
Pair EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Larsson Klefbom 16:19 49.64 26.8 18 13 58.1 57.6 62.5 53.7
Russell Klefbom 02:37 55.03 15 1 2 33.3 31.7 50 42.9
Nurse M. Benning 13:12 70.91 29.3 20 15 57.1 56 55.6 43.1
Seksy Russell 14:27 89.27 15.1 13 13 50 49 52.2 33.8
Forward Lines
Line EVTOI CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Pitlick Lander Letestube 05:46 5 1 83.3 82.5 83.3 67
Maroon Drai Pulju 10:22 22 8 73.3 72.7 79.2 66.2
Kassian Poo Nuge 10:47 17 12 58.6 57.7 62.5 54.1
Eberle Looch McDavid 11:36 8 18 30.8 29.9 26.3 23.3

Game Flows



Rink Maps

Defense Pairings – Shots Given Up



Forward Lines – Shots Taken




Head to Head




NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

Andersen’s rapid saves
Talbot’s big pad stops
Nurse’s hit on Marner
Lander takes advantage of miscue
Smith nets Soshnikov’s nifty feed
Kadri breaks in for OT winner
Nurse scores through traffic
Brown sets up Kadri at doorstep
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2 thoughts on “G10 2016-11-01 Oilers go retro, nostalgic for the tire fire days

  1. Hi G.

    We had the briefest interaction on Lowetide. I asked if hockeyanalysis was the right place to get advanced stats data and you said yes. I’ve been playing around with the data and I’ve found some things I would like to discuss/verify. The folks at LT seem unresponsive. Either I’m the new guy or it’s not as into analysis as I thought.

    I know you’ve done and are doing a lot of great work in this area. Wondering if you would like to hear me out and if this is the right place if you do? No worries if not.

    Thanks!
    Georges

    Like

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