G67 2016-03-04 Oilers at Darkly Coloured Outerwear

Game Notes CBJ vs EDM


Edmonton Oilers (Head Coach: Todd McLellan) at Columbus Blue Jackets (Head Coach: John Tortorella)

NHL Game #967, Nationwide Arena, 2016-03-04 05:00:00PM (GMT -0700)

Blue Jackets 6-3


Referees: Eric Furlatt, Dave Lewis
Linesmen: Shandor Alphonso, Darren Gibbs

Three Stars: David Savard; Scott Hartnell; Boone Jenner

  • The Oilers were not good this game, but neither were the Jackets. The biggest difference was goaltending. Most people will remember it as more one-sided than that because of the score. This is a very real (and very human) issue called ‘outcome bias’. Don’t fall victim!
  • The stats actually show it as VERY one-sided for the Oilers, though a lot of that happened after the game was out of reach, so there’s score effects in there too. But other than that pathetic first three minutes, the Oilers were actually the better team. Again, that’s not saying much – the Jackets were sh*t.
  • I also don’t want to get too down on Laurent Broissoit. He had incredible (unsustainable) games previously. This is the first game he’s played where he wasn’t the first star!  These are the games that bring an inflated sv% back to reality. They happen to all goalies. Don’t look at this game and forget about the previous two. This is a very real (and very human) issue called ‘recency bias’. Don’t fall victim!
  • Have you ever before seen a game where the other team scored 10 seconds after an Oiler goal, THREE STRAIGHT TIMES? Me neither. I’m guessing this was a fatigue effect.  The Oilers were on a “scheduled loss”, namely the third game in four nights (also seventh game in 11 nights), second game of a back to back, on the road. Fatigue makes cowards (and fools) of us all.
  • Seksy Fayne were terrific, Pardy Davidson not good (esp. that bobble from Pardy), and Nurse Nikitin terrible.  Nikitin especially. I’m sure this shocks you. Not one EV goal against was scored with Seksy Fayne on ice.
  • That reviewed play that was mysteriously called onside was so offside, even Elliotte Friedman was going “WTF?”
  • Scumbag hit from a scumbag team to finish. That kind of hit with just a few seconds left in a 6-3 game should be met with a hefty suspension. I suspect if it was earlier in the game, the refs would have found a way to use the scrum to leave the Oilers shorthanded. That is literally the standard I expect out of NHL refs now.

Game at a Glance

The Oilers are the Away team, so in this case, down is good.

Who Won the Shot Battle?

Which Battle Who Won By How Much
Shots EDM 32 to 21 (60.4%)
Average Shot Distance Against (ft) EDM 33 to 32
Corsi EDM 72 to 41 (63.7%)
Score & Venue Adjusted Corsi EDM 65 to 45 (58.9%)
Dangerous Fenwick EDM 63 to 35 (63.8%)


Goal Overview

Team Period Time Strength ShotType ShotDist Danger
CBJ 1 1:54 EV Snap 7 3.043075
CBJ 1 2:44 EV Snap 31 1.075669
EDM 2 4:35 EV Tip-In 9 2.547276
CBJ 2 4:45 EV Deflected 25 0.736168
CBJ 2 10:54 PP Tip-In 10 2.308215
EDM 2 19:00 PP Tip-In 50 0.219329
CBJ 2 19:43 EV Snap 23 1.693983
EDM 3 3:22 EV Snap 14 2.447960
CBJ 3 3:57 EV Snap 29 1.216779

Detailed Shot Metrics

Strength CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF% FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 72 41 63.7 65.2 45.5 58.9 48 34 58.5 63.3 35.9 63.8
All 77 49 61.1 69.6 54.8 56 52 42 55.3 66.7 50.2 57.1

How the Players Did (On Ice Shot Attempts)

Danger Tables

Forwards are sorted by decreasing CF%. Defensemen and pairs sorted by increasing DFA60. Forward lines by decreasing DFF%. Positions are as listed by the NHL roster page, not necessarily where they played.

Centres

That’s two strong games from Drai. I wonder if he’s starting to recover from his injury? (I’m convinced his recent struggles were from an injury, a rib cross check from the previous CBJ game).

Name EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Drai 14:16 66.7 27 9 75 71.1 73.1 84.8
McDavid 15:28 87.5 19 11 63.3 58.9 57.1 60.4
Letestube 12:55 60.0 18 13 58.1 53 45 42.3
Eberle 13:18 83.3 16 12 57.1 52.7 50 58.7
Hendrix 10:04 60.0 9 9 50 44.5 53.3 51.4
Lander 10:28 50.0 9 11 45 39.5 47.1 50.6
Wingers
Name EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Hall 14:09 70.0 25 7 78.1 74.5 77.3 86.1
P. Maroon 15:40 70.0 26 8 76.5 72.5 75 80.6
Korpi 11:18 80.0 18 10 64.3 59.3 52.4 53.9
Kassian 12:36 80.0 21 12 63.6 58.7 52.2 54
Yak 15:00 83.3 19 12 61.3 56.7 54.5 59.1
Pakarinen 09:51 50.0 9 9 50 44.4 53.3 55.3
Defensemen

Huh. Nikitin was not good. I’m shocked.

Name EVTOI OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF% DFA60
Seksy 18:58 80.0 27 14 65.9 61 62.1 75.9 19.93
Fayne 16:11 71.4 21 13 61.8 56.6 58.3 67 27.81
Davidson 20:58 63.6 34 14 70.8 66.5 61.8 68.1 44.07
A. Pardy 19:13 60.0 30 15 66.7 62 62.9 69.9 48.08
Nurse 13:10 71.4 13 10 56.5 51.5 52.6 47.1 53.32
N. Nikitin 14:52 77.8 19 16 54.3 49.5 47.8 44.8 62.96
Defense Pairings
Pair EVTOI DFA60 AvgDangerA AvgDistA CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Seksy Fayne 13:53 21.18 0.548 41.7 20 11 64.5 59.4 59.1 75.2
Seksy N. Nikitin 02:52 29.3 0.7 34 5 3 62.5 58.2 66.7 77
A. Pardy Davidson 16:51 54.84 1.181 27.4 27 14 65.9 61.3 60.6 66.5
Nurse N. Nikitin 09:44 72.12 1.298 34.3 8 10 44.4 39.8 40 30.9
Forward Lines

Interesting that Yak-McD-Ebs struggled but Hall-McD-Maroon (100%), Yak-Drai-Ebs (86%) all killed it.

Line EVTOI CF CA CF% SACF% FF% DFF%
Hall P. Maroon McDavid 03:51 9 0 100 100 100 100
Yak Eberle Drai 03:19 7 2 77.8 73.7 75 86.4
Hall P. Maroon Drai 09:19 14 7 66.7 62.5 64.3 79.8
Korpi Kassian Letestube 10:28 16 10 61.5 56.5 47.4 43.1
Hendrix Pakarinen Lander 08:25 5 7 41.7 36.1 45.5 35.6
Yak Eberle McDavid 08:49 7 9 43.8 40.1 30 34.4

Defense Pairings WOWY

Each pairing (>2:00 EVTOI) is shown, along with how the individuals on that pairing did without each other on the ice. The axes show DangerousFenwick rates for and against. Note the reversed DFA axis. This lets the chart read naturally, where bottom left is bad and top right is good The dotted line shows the breakeven line.

Game Flows



Rink Maps



Head to Head


NHL Media Highlights

Click the link to play the associated highlight video

McDavid’s goal cut lead
Draisaitl scores on deflection
Hartnell’s goal late in the 2nd
Tyutin’s goal extends lead
Savard’s early goal
Hall’s power-play goal
Atkinson nets Dubinsky’s feed
Jenner’s power-play goal
Savard’s second goal of the night
Korpisalo’s close save
Blue Jackets net two in a flash
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