G51 2016-02-02 Oilers vs Blue Jackets – shot and distance data

Game Recap

You don’t really need a recap, do you?  THE PRECIOUS HAS RETURNED!  WE HAZ THE MCDAVID!  HE IS ALL OURS AND YOU CAN’T HAVE HIM!

  • Fourteenth game.  HIS FOURTEENTH GAME.  Sometimes I just have to sit in amazement at the thought that Connor McDavid plays for the Edmonton Oilers.  Man.
  • Actually, that was an incredible game in some ways. That was perhaps the most dominant first period by the Oilers in … how long? I did an analysis of the Oilers play over the course of a game, and the first period is normally and BY FAR their worst period (see bonus chart in the Game at a Glance). So that was extra impressive.  Guess the Oilers were just as psyched at Connor’s return as we fans were!
  • A word on the fancystats for tonight: Connor McDavid was 36.4% on the Corsis, 38.2% on the Score-adjusted Corsis, and 61.9% on the Dangerous Fenwicks.  Dangerous Fenwick FTW!
  • The rest of the game was a decent pushback by the Jackets – give them some credit I guess. But a lot of score effects in that too. You can see that clearly on the Game Flow chart after the Oilers went up 4-1.
  • Lost in the fuss: solid game by Talbot.  The stats didn’t like him, but I thought that was a pretty good game by Reinhart (they call him The Big Cat down in Bakersfield).  The new kid looked pretty good too, and the fancystats loved him. And Draisaitl and Hall are still wow, though they kind of got chewed up a bit in the third period.
  • Did I mention that this team is missing Nuge, Klefbom, and Davidson?

A big thank you to Oilerdom’s Photoshop Prodigy VisuallyBetter (@Isuckatpicking) for the feature image.  Pretty much captures it, doesn’t it! (You might have to go to the home page to see the whole thing)

Game at a Glance

CF% SACF% FF% DFF% SF% Avg Dist F Avg Dist A RelDist% GF%
44.8 45.9 47.2 49.3 48 35.8 35.7 -0.4 75

 

Bonus Chart

This is the Oilers even strength Corsi trend over the course of a game so far this season. So this absolutely dominant first period was a real achievement (for this team).

figure_1

Goal Overview

Team Period Time Strength Shot Distance Danger
CBJ 1  11:37  EV  Snap 29 1.2
EDM 2  3:01  EV  Snap 62 0.2
EDM 2  9:58  EV  Wrist 13 2.3
EDM 2  16:32  PP  Tip-In 22 0.9
EDM 2  17:01  EV  Snap 27 1.4
EDM 3  14:41  PP  Wrist 9 2.6

Shots

5v5
   Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  5 / 29.4  1 / 43.0  16 / 39.0  1 / 18.0  1 / 28.0  –  –
Against  6 / 28.2  2 / 53.5  15 / 40.3  2 / 17.5  1 / 12.0  –  –
All Situations
   Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  8 / 27.8  2 / 51.0  19 / 38.2  4 / 12.2  2 / 25.0  –  –
Against  10 / 23.5  3 / 53.3  20 / 40.8  3 / 15.0  1 / 12.0  –  –

Game Flows

Statistically, this was the best game Nurse has played in a long while.  Reason for hope?

Reinhart and Gryba dangerous at both ends of the ice according to the DangerFens. (I thought they looked better than that by eye)

Danger Tables

Player Reg TOI EVTOI FA DFA DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
A. Clendening  14:52  14:21 10 4 16.7 48.9 0.4
D. Nurse  20:56  14:20 11 5.6 23.4 47.4 0.51
M. Fayne  18:47  15:21 11 8.9 34.8 33.2 0.81
A. Sekera  23:16  18:33 15 13.2 42.7 33.6 0.88
G. Reinhart  16:58  14:36 13 16.9 69.5 26.9 1.3
E. Gryba  22:44  16:57 17 22.8 80.7 26.6 1.34
Pairing Reg TOI EVTOI FA DFA DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
A. Sekera D. Nurse  02:30  01:30 1 0.2 8 55 0.2
D. Nurse A. Clendening  11:06  11:06 8 3.2 17.3 50.4 0.4
A. Sekera M. Fayne  15:04  14:19 10 8 33.5 33.2 0.8
G. Reinhart E. Gryba  14:13  13:30 12 16 71.1 26.4 1.33
D. Nurse E. Gryba  06:38  01:49 2 2.3 76 31.5 1.13

Rink Maps

Ouch, the rink map shows why Reinhart/Gryba’s statistics looked like crap.  I suspect maybe there was a single tire fire (four shots by two players in almost the same area), with the rest of the game being lower event.  That might be how to reconcile the eye vs the stats.

Head to Head

Very interesting to see the difference between the individual Corsis and the individual DangeFens tonight!

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2 thoughts on “G51 2016-02-02 Oilers vs Blue Jackets – shot and distance data

  1. Thanks for doing these G-Money. I honestly think these are one of the coolest stat/presentation out there on the web. Keep up the good work!

    Like

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