G18 2015-11-14 Oilers at Los Angeles Referees – shot and distance data

Commentary
  • Not going to talk about the embarrassment that is NHL refereeing.  It was a good effort from a still-sick team and the Oilers deserved better.
Game at a Glance

The data is interesting this game – this is the first time that I’ve seen Dangerous Fenwick swing the opposite side from Corsi.  Or to put it another way, despite losing the shot attempt battle, the Oilers had the more dangerous overall shots.  Some of which you can see in the fact that the Oiler shots were closer overall.

CF% SACF% FF% DFF% SF% Avg Dist F Avg Dist A RelDist% GF%
46.6 44.3 45.5 51.8 44.2 29.2 32.9 12.7 42.9


(Note: “Danger” is my calculation of how dangerous this shot is relative to an average shot, given shot type and distance.  This is the number used in “Danger Adjusted Fenwick” below and in the chart above)

Goal Overview

The first goal is rated high danger, but it really wasn’t.  The flaw in a distance rather than location based danger measurement.

Team Period Time Strength Shot Distance Danger
L.A 1  1:17  EV  Wrist 9 2.6
L.A 1  18:56  EV  Wrist 24 1.3
EDM 2  5:17  EV  Snap 25 1.5
L.A 2  8:35  EV  Snap 13 2.5
EDM 2  13:53  EV  Snap 39 0.6
EDM 3  15:10  EV  Wrist 16 2.0
L.A 3  18:23  EV  Wrist 26 1.1
Shot Type and Distance

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %; DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against; REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.

Even Strength / Shot Count and Distances (ft)
   Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  6 / 33.2  2 / 53.5  9 / 25.9  2 / 7.5  –  –  –
Against  17 / 33.2  2 / 60.0  3 / 26.7  2 / 13.0  –  –  –

.

All Situations / Shot Count and Distances (ft)
 Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  9 / 33.0  4 / 55.2  10 / 27.1  2 / 7.5  –  –  –
Against  19 / 33.2  2 / 60.0  4 / 26.8  2 / 13.0  1 / 14.0  –  –
Distance of Unblocked Shots Allowed

New data display – showing the average distance of shot allowed and average ‘danger rating’ and Danger Fenwick rate per 60 for the defensemen and defensive pairings.  

Players

Another tough game for Nurse, at least by DFA/60.  I’m convinced he’s sick.  Fayne was OK most of the night, despite his soft play on the Talbot giveaway.

Player EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
Klef  18:03 18.6 39.5 0.70
M. Fayne  13:20 21.2 40.0 0.67
G. Reinhart  14:17 44.5 34.0 0.97
E. Gryba  13:55 51.7 32.1 1.09
A. Sekera  17:21 66.1 31.8 1.06
D. Nurse  14:26 77.3 32.1 1.03

TMc had the blender going a bit more this game, with a number of combos going.  By the Danger statistics, Reinhart looked a hell of a lot better with Sekera than he did with Gryba, albeit in very minimal time.  Sekera also looked better than he did with Nurse.  Gryba and Klef looked good too, but not much time either.

Pairing EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
E. Gryba Klef  02:25 5.0 52.0 0.23
A. Sekera G. Reinhart  03:19 14.5 41.5 0.40
M. Fayne Klef  11:12 16.1 40.8 0.76
G. Reinhart E. Gryba  09:22 60.9 30.6 1.19
A. Sekera D. Nurse  10:55 87.4 31.0 1.13

I drop pairings with less than 2:00 min TOI, but these are what cause the difference between the individuals and the main pairings.

Player Head to Head Charts

New chart format, adds TOI and EV CF% to each chart.  Note: all tables of Fenwick and Corsi, along with breakdowns of players, defensive pairings, and forward lines is now embedded in the game summary CSV downloaded at the bottom of the page.

Great game from Teddy P, and it shows.

Data for Download

Includes the information above, plus Corsi, Fenwick, shift summaries, player times and WOWYs, data for head to head, etc. 

https://app.box.com/s/m19h22q29dcq79chh518m0lpvt6er5kf


Complete Glossary

CF, CA, CF% – Corsi For, Against, %

SACF, SACA, SACF% – Scored Adjusted Corsi For, Against, %

FF, FA, FF% – Fenwick For, Against, %

DFF, DFA, DFF% – Danger (shot type and distance) Adjusted Fenwick For, Against, %

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %

DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against (in feet, not yet adjusted for rink bias)

REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.  Uses the “4 second” rule.

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