G16 2015-11-11 Oilers at Ducks – shot and distance data

Commentary
  • At least the Oilers don’t quit.  Would be nice if they started the game that way.  See the chart below.
  • Once again – embarrassing reffing.  When you don’t call dangerous headshots, you’ve moved from incompetent to borderline criminal.
  • Thank you, Anders Nilsson!

Back to the start of the game.  You know why the Oilers won?  Because they were only down by one after that abysmal fifteen starting minutes.  Take a look at this chart snippet (clipped from hockeystats.ca):

Game at a Glance

The average Duck shot was 24% closer.  Ouch.

CF% SACF% FF% DFF% SF% Avg Dist F Avg Dist A RelDist% GF%
46.5 46.6 45 41.1 39.6 35.7 27.3 -23.5 50

(Note: “Danger” is my calculation of how dangerous this shot is relative to an average shot, given shot type and distance.  This is the number used in “Danger Adjusted Fenwick” below and in the chart above)

Goal Overview

All of ANA’s goals were crazy dangerous.  Not a softie among them.  Nilsson was incredible.

Team Period Time Strength Shot Distance Danger
ANA 1  10:09  PP  Backhand 8 2.3
EDM 2  4:23  PP  Slap 21 1.7
ANA 3  1:56  EV  Tip-In 9 2.5
EDM 3  5:38  EV  Slap 69 0.2
ANA 3  6:44  EV  Backhand 9 2.2
EDM 3  8:19  EV  Snap 11 2.7
EDM 4  1:16  EV  Backhand 12 1.8

Shot Type and Distance

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %; DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against; REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.

Even Strength / Shot Count and Distances (ft)

I dropped the charts, not sure they were adding anything.

   Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  1 / 7.0  9 / 45.4  9 / 33.7  –  2 / 15.0  –  –
Against  5 / 24.0  14 / 38.5  6 / 23.0  2 / 10.0  4 / 12.0  1 / 8.0  –
All Situations / Shot Count and Distances (ft)
 Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  1 / 7.0  12 / 42.0  11 / 34.9  1 / 12.0  2 / 15.0  –  –
Against  5 / 24.0  17 / 40.7  6 / 23.0  4 / 10.2  4 / 12.0  1 / 8.0  –
Distance of Unblocked Shots Allowed

New data display – showing the average distance of shot allowed and average ‘danger rating’ and Danger Fenwick rate per 60 for the defensemen and defensive pairings.  

Reinhart and Gryba were absolutely destroyed.  Fayne looked pretty good today, at long last.  This is the first time I’ve seen the Oilers D all having AvgDanger ratings over 1.0.

Player EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
D. Nurse  19:16 40.8 29.5 1.09
Klef  19:15 44.9 33 1.03
M. Fayne  18:55 46 32.3 1.11
A. Sekera  18:09 41 30.2 1.03
G. Reinhart  15:39 98.9 27.2 1.36
E. Gryba  14:56 100.8 26.8 1.39

The pairings were pretty stable today – there were no mixed pairings with more than 2:00 of ice time.

Pairing EVTOI DFA60 AvgDistA AvgDanger
A. Sekera D. Nurse  17:27 37.8 30.5 1
M. Fayne Klef  17:16 42.7 33.5 1.03
G. Reinhart E. Gryba  14:31 103.7 26.8 1.39

I dropped pairings with less than 2:00 min TOI, but these are what cause the difference between the individuals and the main pairings.

Player Head to Head Charts

Note: all tables of Fenwick and Corsi, along with breakdowns of players, defensive pairings, and forward lines is now embedded in the game summary CSV downloaded at the bottom of the page.

 
Data for Download

Includes the information above, plus Corsi, Fenwick, shift summaries, player times and WOWYs, data for head to head, etc. 

https://app.box.com/s/w4xt1lh1k0egym6gneginopnl3cmy73a


Complete Glossary

CF, CA, CF% – Corsi For, Against, %

SACF, SACA, SACF% – Scored Adjusted Corsi For, Against, %

FF, FA, FF% – Fenwick For, Against, %

DFF, DFA, DFF% – Danger (shot type and distance) Adjusted Fenwick For, Against, %

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %

DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against (in feet, not yet adjusted for rink bias)

REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.  Uses the “4 second” rule.

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One thought on “G16 2015-11-11 Oilers at Ducks – shot and distance data

  1. Thanks for posting this and thanks especially for tabulating. The numbers reflect the play I saw for the most part. Nuge was very good defensively tonight. Even when they were cycling, the puck stayed away from the danger area until they turned it over. Klefbom had a nice night, he seems to alternate between dominant and mediocre game by game.
    The fourth line didn’t hurt.

    On the other side I kept thinking that Sami Vantanen probably makes the Ducks feel not bad about missing out on Schultz. His line (displayed here) for a defenseman was pretty darn good and his passes were crisp.

    Like

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