G13 2015-11-03 Oilers vs Dirty Scumbag Team from Philly – shot and distance data

Commentary

• Really, fate?  Really?  AND no call after Manning goes waterskiing behind McDavid from the top of the circle all the way to driving him into the boards?  And Drai.  And Hall.  At what point does the NHL admit that its got a reffing problem?
• Otherwise that was as dominant a game as the Oilers have played.
• My dream tandem this summer was Talbot/Neuvirth.  Dammit.
• I wasn’t sure about Gryba being out there, but as I posted earlier, he’s had his best games when paired with Reinhart.  Apart from, you know, a goal, they looked pretty good out there.

Game at a Glance

 

CF%	SACF%	FF%	DFF%	SF%	Avg Dist F	Avg Dist A	RelDist%	GF%
60.4	59.6	57.3	61.8	60.0	32.1	37.7	17.4	60.0

Goal Overview

(Note: “Danger” is my calculation of how dangerous this shot is relative to an average shot, given shot type and distance.  This is the number used in “Danger Adjusted Fenwick” below and in the chart above)

Team	Period	Time	Strength	Shot	Distance	Danger
EDM	1	19:56	PP	Wrist	7	2.8
PHI	2	0:34	EV	Wrist	12	2.3
PHI	2	12:59	EV	Slap	43	0.6
EDM	3	6:13	EV	Wrist	9	2.6
EDM	3	7:40	EV	Backhand	33	0.1
EDM	3	19:17	EV	Wrist	22	1.5

Shot Type and Distance

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %; DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against; REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.

The average Scumbag shot was from 38 ft away, while the Oilers shots averaged 32 ft away – the Oilers were 17% closer.

Even Strength / Shot Count and Distances (ft)

 

	Wrist	Slap	Snap	Backhand	Tip-In	Wrap-around	Deflected
For	12 / 26.2	7 / 49.1	9 / 32.2	4 / 25.8	–	1 / 8.0	–
Against	11 / 34.1	5 / 48.6	2 / 46.0	1 / 33.0	1 / 17.0	1 / 8.0	1 / 62.0

All Situations / Shot Count and Distances (ft)

	Wrist	Slap	Snap	Backhand	Tip-In	Wrap-around	Deflected
For	22 / 19.3	11 / 47.0	10 / 31.2	5 / 24.2	–	1 / 8.0	–
Against	11 / 34.1	5 / 48.6	2 / 46.0	1 / 33.0	1 / 17.0	1 / 8.0	1 / 62.0

Distance of Unblocked Shots Allowed

I’m trying out a new data display – showing the average distance of shot allowed and average ‘danger rating’ and Danger Fenwick rate per 60 for the defensemen and defensive pairings.  

The DFA/60 clearly shows Reinhart and Gryba had a terrific game, while Sekera … not so much.  Other than, you know, causing a goal against.

QoC had something to say about these results.

Player	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	AvgDanger
D. Nurse	17:56	38.8	32.0	0.96
A. Sekera	16:54	46.9	33.6	0.95
Klef	16:06	38.4	38.6	0.79
B. Davidson	15:40	32.6	44.8	0.65
E. Gryba	15:14	16.5	31.3	0.71
G. Reinhart	14:41	21.2	27.5	0.86

The main pairings showed a bit better than some of the individuals did.

Pairing	EVTOI	DFA60	AvgDistA	AvgDanger
A. Sekera D. Nurse	15:36	39.2	31.9	1.0
Klef B. Davidson	14:33	32.6	42.7	0.72
G. Reinhart E. Gryba	14:02	16.7	28.0	0.79

I dropped pairings with less than 2:00 min TOI, but these are what cause the difference between the individuals and the main pairings.

Player Head to Head Charts

Note: all of the previous tables of Fenwick and Corsi, along with breakdowns of players, defensive pairings, and forward lines is now embedded in the game summary CSV downloaded at the bottom of the page.   Instead, I’ll simply be publishing the head to head time, Corsi, and Danger Fenwick charts.

Data for Download

Includes the information above, plus Corsi, Fenwick, shift summaries, player times and WOWYs, data for head to head, etc. 

https://app.box.com/s/1idvjdjylufdfn0ieawurdh1umusyuru

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Complete Glossary

CF, CA, CF% – Corsi For, Against, %

SACF, SACA, SACF% – Scored Adjusted Corsi For, Against, %

FF, FA, FF% – Fenwick For, Against, %

DFF, DFA, DFF% – Danger (shot type and distance) Adjusted Fenwick For, Against, %

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %

DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against (in feet, not yet adjusted for rink bias)

REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.  Uses the “4 second” rule.