G7 2015-10-23 EDMONTON vs WASHINGTON – shot and distance data

I’ll be publishing these after most games, and will continue to refine the format and presentation.  Let me know if you find any errors, this is very much still in development.  Feedback and suggestions also welcome.

Comments:

  • What a disaster, that was like the Oilers of old
  • Mind you, most defenses look pretty shaky against the WSH firepower
  • I thought Schultz and Ference were especially exposed, and the backpressure from the forwards was weak
  • Goaltending tonight was part of the problem, not the solution.  Let’s hope it’s one of those random bad nights that happens to every team and every goalie.
    • You can clearly see the last two weak goals in the ‘danger’ rating in the Goals table
  • By Corsi, the game was close, but some of that was score effects as you can see clearly in the chart below.
  • This is the first game where the ‘danger adjusted metrics’ made the Oilers look worse than the standard metrics.  Again, no surprise given the WSH firepower.
  • The shot distance looks crazy bad, but some of that was long distance slapshots by the Oilers.
Game at a Glance

S20152016-G104-PbP EV Summary

Goal Overview

(Note: “Danger” is my calculation of how dangerous this shot is relative to an average shot, given shot type and distance.  This is the number used in “Danger Adjusted Fenwick” below)

Team Period Time Strength Shot Distance Danger
WSH 1  3:05  EV  Backhand 8 2.3
EDM 1  10:59  EV  Wrist 12 2.3
WSH 1  12:07  PP  Snap 20 1.9
EDM 1  15:00  EV  Tip-In 10 2.3
WSH 1  19:39  EV  Tip-In 13 1.6
EDM 2  0:36  PP  Wrist 13 2.3
WSH 2  6:17  EV  Backhand 9 2.2
WSH 2  9:26  EV  Wrist 8 2.7
WSH 2  11:49  EV  Tip-In 17 1.1
EDM 2  14:42  EV  Snap 24 1.6
WSH 3  16:59  PP  Snap 30 1.1
Shot Analysis

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %; DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against; REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.

S20152016-G104-PbPShot Histogram(5v5)

S20152016-G104-PbPShot Histogram(All)

SF SA SF% DIST F DIST A REB F REB A
EV 18 20 47.4 37.0 22.8 1 0
All 23 26 46.9 35.3 27.1 1 0
Even Strength / Shot Count and Distances (ft)

(Note: not yet adjusted for rink bias)

S20152016-G104-PbP  Type vs Dist  (5v5)

 Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  7 / 31.7  2 / 61.5  7 / 42.1  –  2 / 13.0  –  –
Against  7 / 17.6  2 / 43.5  4 / 35.0  3 / 11.7  4 / 17.5  –  –
All Situations / Shot Count and Distances (ft)

S20152016-G104-PbP  Type vs Dist  (All)

 Wrist Slap Snap Backhand Tip-In Wrap-around Deflected
For  10 / 28.4  2 / 61.5  9 / 42.2  –  2 / 13.0  –  –
Against  8 / 16.8  4 / 57.0  7 / 33.9  3 / 11.7  4 / 17.5  –  –
Unblocked Shot Attempts (Fenwick)

FF, FA, FF% – Fenwick For, Against, %; DFF, DFA, DFF% – Danger (shot type and distance) Adjusted Fenwick For, Against, %

FF FA FF% DFF DFA DFF%
EV 29 30 49.2 27.8 36.4 43.3
All 39 37 51.3 36.1 44.3 44.9
Shot Attempts (Corsi)
CF CA CF% SACF SACA SACF%
EV 40 42 48.8 36.0 45.9 44.0
All 55 49 52.9 49.3 54.2 47.6
Player Summary
Player Shift Summary

Apologies for these crunched tables, I have to figure out how to get WordPress to properly format large tables.

Name # Average Longest
Andrej Sekera 30  00:41  01:30
Justin Schultz 28  00:43  01:24
Nail Yakupov 26  00:43  01:29
Mark Fayne 26  00:40  01:13
Oscar Klefbom 25  00:40  01:29
Eric Gryba 25  00:47  01:32
Taylor Hall 25  00:43  01:18
Connor Mcdavid 25  00:42  01:29
Anton Lander 25  00:48  01:13
Benoit Pouliot 24  00:43  01:32
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 24  00:49  01:17
Teddy Purcell 22  00:48  01:17
Andrew Ference 21  00:45  01:32
Mark Letestu 20  00:44  01:29
Lauri Korpikoski 19  00:44  01:22
Anton Slepyshev 16  00:48  01:17
Rob Klinkhammer 15  00:35  01:13
Luke Gazdic 8  00:44  00:59
Total 5v5 TOI  46:11
Individual Players

(There are two ways of calculating OZS, DZ+OZ, or OZ+NZ+DZ.  I give both, with “OSZ%2” meaning DZ+OZ.  WOWY CF% and SACF% are Corsi and Score Adjusted Corsi when that player is not on the ice. Reg TOI is Regulation TOI, EVTOI is 5v5 TOI)  NOTE: the OSZ3 numbers look a little off.  I’m not entirely sure they are, but it’s possible a bug has crept in so, approach those with more caution than usual for now.

Player Reg TOI EVTOI OZS%3 OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% DFF% WOWY CF% WOWY SACF% WOWY DFF%
Sekera  20:33  13:27 17.6 75.0 16 9 64.0 60.4 60.9 42.1 36.9 32.9
Schultz  19:59  14:09 15.8 42.9 8 12 40.0 34.6 28.3 51.6 47.1 48.2
Lander  19:54  13:34 13.3 33.3 10 12 45.5 41.3 38.6 50.0 44.9 44.7
Gryba  19:45  18:36 31.2 55.6 17 23 42.5 37.8 42.2 54.8 49.9 44.3
Nuge  19:24  14:02 16.7 66.7 15 14 51.7 46.1 42.5 47.2 42.7 43.8
Yak  18:29  12:39 22.2 50.0 11 11 50.0 45.2 47.9 48.3 43.5 41.9
Hall  18:04  13:44 13.3 50.0 15 12 55.6 50.0 52.6 45.5 41.0 38.3
Purcell  17:42  13:14 30.0 60.0 12 17 41.4 36.9 30.4 52.8 47.8 48.6
McGlorious!  17:30  11:41 25.0 57.1 10 11 47.6 42.7 37.1 49.2 44.2 45.8
Fayne  17:24  15:07 12.5 66.7 19 11 63.3 59.6 53.1 40.4 35.3 38.1
Poo  17:02  12:23 23.5 57.1 12 8 60.0 55.2 51.9 45.2 40.4 40.6
Klef  16:51  15:19 22.7 55.6 11 13 45.8 39.3 31.8 50.0 45.8 49.3
Ference  15:35  15:35 16.7 33.3 9 16 36 31.7 34.1 54.4 49.4 45.7
Letestu  14:43  07:14 25.0 66.7 5 5 50.0 45.0 72.3 48.6 43.7 40.0
Korpi  13:56  11:23 12.5 33.3 7 16 30.4 27.4 16.9 55.9 50.6 53.9
Slappy  12:52  12:46 30.0 75.0 12 7 63.2 57.6 60.3 44.4 40.0 38.7
Klink  08:52  08:36 12.5 50.0 7 7 50.0 45.7 45.6 48.5 43.6 42.5
Gazdic  05:53  05:53 16.7 50.0 4 5 44.4 40.2 64.0 49.3 44.4 41.7
Defense Pairings
Pairing Reg TOI EVTOI OZS%3 OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% DFF% WOWY CF% WOWY SACF% WOWY DFF%
Sekera Fayne  13:47  11:36 12.5 66.7 13 7 65.0 61.5 63.6 43.5 38.4 36.9
Ference Gryba  12:50  12:50 18.2 33.3 6 16 27.3 23.9 32.0 56.7 51.6 46.2
Schultz Klef  11:26  10:47 11.8 33.3 6 10 37.5 32.3 32.1 51.5 46.9 46.4
Gryba Klef  04:15  03:22 60.0 100.0 5 2 71.4 64.2 44.6 46.7 42.1 43.2
Schultz Ference  01:39  01:39 0.0  – 1 0 100.0 100.0 48.1 43.3 43.3
Fayne Gryba  01:27  01:27  –  – 4 3 57.1 53.7 40.0 48.0 43.1 43.6
Fayne Ference  01:06  01:06  –  – 2 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 47.5 42.7 42.9
Sekera Schultz  01:03  01:03 100.0 100.0 1 1 50.0 47.4 0.0 48.8 43.9 44.1
Fayne Klef  00:53  00:53  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.6 44.9
Sekera Gryba  00:39  00:23  –  – 2 1 66.7 61.3 65.3 48.1 43.2 40.5
Schultz Gryba  00:34  00:34  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.6 43.8

Forward Line Combinations

Line Combo Reg TOI EVTOI OZS%3 OZS%2 CF CA CF% SACF% DFF% WOWY CF% WOWY SACF% WOWY DFF%
Yak Poo McGlorious!  14:26  09:54 26.7 66.7 9 7 56.2 51.9 49.3 47.0 42.1 41.7
Hall Purcell Nuge  09:51  05:37 50.0 100.0 5 7 41.7 35.2 32.0 50.0 45.5 44.8
Purcell Korpi Lander  05:47  05:47 16.7 33.3 3 8 27.3 24.8 26.2 52.1 46.9 46.0
Gazdic Slappy Letestu  04:33  04:33 25.0 50 4 5 44.4 40.2 64.0 49.3 44.4 41.7
Hall Purcell Lander  04:20  00:21  –  – 1 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 48.1 43.3 43.1
Hall Klink Nuge  03:03  03:03 0.0 0.0 4 3 57.1 53.5 44.8 48.0 43.0 43.0
Hall Slappy Nuge  02:25  02:19 0.0  – 4 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 46.2 41.5 40.4
Korpi Slappy Lander  02:24  02:24 0.0  – 2 1 66.7 58.6 23.5 48.1 43.3 43.8
Hall Klink Lander  01:59  01:59 0.0 0 1 2 33.3 30.0 100.0 49.4 44.4 41.9
Yak Lander Poo  00:53  00:53 0.0 0 2 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 47.5 42.8 42.4
Klink Korpi Slappy  00:47  00:47  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.6 44.9
Klink Slappy Letestu  00:45  00:45 100.0 100.0 1 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 48.1 43.3 41.9
Klink Slappy Lander  00:38  00:38 33.3 100.0 1 0 100.0 100.0  – 48.1 43.3 43.3
Yak Korpi McGlorious!  00:36  00:36  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0  – 49.4 44.6 43.3
Purcell Korpi Nuge  00:34  00:34  –  – 2 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 47.5 42.6 42.9
Purcell Poo Nuge  00:33  00:26  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.6 43.6
Yak Korpi Nuge  00:27  00:27  –  – 0 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 45.1 43.6
Purcell Poo McGlorious!  00:19  00:14  –  – 1 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 48.1 43.3 43.1
Klink Korpi Lander  00:12  00:12  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.5 44.1
Korpi Nuge McGlorious!  00:03  00:03  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.6 45.2
Purcell Korpi McGlorious!  00:02  00:02  –  – 0 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.4 44.5 44.0


Complete Glossary

CF, CA, CF% – Corsi For, Against, %

SACF, SACA, SACF% – Scored Adjusted Corsi For, Against, %

FF, FA, FF% – Fenwick For, Against, %

DFF, DFA, DFF% – Danger (shot type and distance) Adjusted Fenwick For, Against, %

CF/SACF/DFF WOWY – Corsi / SA Corsi / Danger Fenwick when that player, defense pair, or line are not on the ice

SA, SF, SF% – Shots For, Against, %

DIST F, A – Average shot distance for and against (in feet, not yet adjusted for rink bias)

REB F, A – rebound shots for and against.  Uses the “4 second” rule.

Reg TOI, EVTOI – regulation time time on ice, 5v5 even strength time on ice

If you want to analyze or otherwise use any of the numbers I’ve given here, you should be able to copy the tables and paste them into Excel and that should work fine.

Advertisements

One thought on “G7 2015-10-23 EDMONTON vs WASHINGTON – shot and distance data

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s