Random factoid: difficulty of schedule so far

There is a simple (and common) way of calculating difficulty of schedule: calculate for each team the average of the EV CF% (even strength Corsi %) of each opponent faced.

By that measure, as of last night, the Oilers have faced the sixth toughest schedule of all teams so far.

Usually you don’t see ‘difficulty of competition’ metrics until near the end of the season, when you’re trying to handicap the playoff race.

But given the craptacular 0-3 start, which is partially driven by schedule and partially by the sh*tting of the bed in Dallas, I figured it might be of interest, especially to those close to the ledge.

Let’s hope someday the playoff version of this calculation will be relevant to the Edmonite Oilers.  For this calculation, I used last seasons CF%.

Other than that, I have no further commentary – I leave this random factoid in a dark and brooding silence, for you to digest, ignore, use, or misuse, as you see fit!

Team Difficulty Teams Faced
ARIZONA 54.09  LOS ANGELES / PITTSBURGH
NY ISLANDERS 53.28  CHICAGO / CHICAGO / WINNIPEG
SAN JOSE 52.65  LOS ANGELES / ANAHEIM / WASHINGTON
CAROLINA 52.52  NASHVILLE / DETROIT / FLORIDA
NEW JERSEY 52.24  WINNIPEG / WASHINGTON / NASHVILLE
EDMONTON 52.22  ST. LOUIS / NASHVILLE / DALLAS
PHILADELPHIA 51.86  TAMPA BAY / FLORIDA / FLORIDA
CHICAGO 51.68  NY RANGERS / NY ISLANDERS / NY ISLANDERS
COLORADO 51.60  MINNESOTA / DALLAS
BOSTON 51.36  WINNIPEG / MONTREAL / TAMPA BAY
TORONTO 50.74  MONTREAL / DETROIT / OTTAWA
DETROIT 50.62  TORONTO / CAROLINA / TAMPA BAY
ANAHEIM 50.41  SAN JOSE / VANCOUVER
FLORIDA 50.32  PHILADELPHIA / PHILADELPHIA / CAROLINA
MONTREAL 50.30  TORONTO / BOSTON / OTTAWA / PITTSBURGH
WINNIPEG 50.29  BOSTON / NEW JERSEY / NY ISLANDERS / NY RANGERS
CALGARY 50.25  VANCOUVER / VANCOUVER / ST. LOUIS
NY RANGERS 50.21  CHICAGO / COLUMBUS / COLUMBUS / WINNIPEG
BUFFALO 50.20  OTTAWA / TAMPA BAY / COLUMBUS
LOS ANGELES 49.82  SAN JOSE / ARIZONA / VANCOUVER
PITTSBURGH 49.77  DALLAS / ARIZONA / MONTREAL
WASHINGTON 49.22  NEW JERSEY / SAN JOSE
NASHVILLE 49.21  CAROLINA / EDMONTON / NEW JERSEY
VANCOUVER 48.86  CALGARY / CALGARY / ANAHEIM / LOS ANGELES
TAMPA BAY 48.01  PHILADELPHIA / BUFFALO / BOSTON / DETROIT
DALLAS 48.01  PITTSBURGH / COLORADO / EDMONTON
ST. LOUIS 47.84  EDMONTON / MINNESOTA / CALGARY
MINNESOTA 47.43  COLORADO / ST. LOUIS
COLUMBUS 45.50  NY RANGERS / NY RANGERS / BUFFALO
OTTAWA 44.16  BUFFALO / TORONTO / MONTREAL
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2 thoughts on “Random factoid: difficulty of schedule so far

    1. Yup. It also makes Arizona’s record so far all the more shocking.

      I can’t remember when the Oilers schedule came out, but if it was after McDavid, I have to think the schedule makers were Leafs fans who wanted to exact some form of revenge.

      5 of the first 6 on the road?

      6 of the first 6 against playoff teams?

      At least four of whom should be considered elite or near-elite teams?

      Man.

      Like

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